Epidemiologist Behind Highly-Cited Coronavirus Model Drastically Downgrades Projection

By  Amanda

Epidemiologist Neil Ferguson, who created the highly-cited Imperial College London coronavirus model, which has been cited by organizations like The New York Times and has been instrumental in governmental policy decision-making, offered a massively downgraded projection of the potential deathtoll on Wednesday. (See link for article)



A few key quotes:

Ferguson’s change of tune comes days after Oxford epidemiologist Sunetra Gupta criticized the professor’s model.

“I am surprised that there has been such unqualified acceptance of the Imperial model,” Gupta said, according to the Financial Times.

The important issue Gupta’s team raises is that COVID-19 was spreading much earlier than suspected and concludes that as many as half of the people in the United Kingdom have already been infected by COVID-19.

Which brings up the probability of this happening in the U.S. as well.

My entire family, as well as many neighbors and friends feel we’ve already had COVID-19 earlier this year and live to tell the tale.

For more:


But, like The Wall Street Journal’s writers point out, it is quite possible that “A universal quarantine may not be worth the costs it imposes on the economy, community and individual mental and physical health” and that statisticians should be called upon to “evaluate the empirical basis of the current lockdowns.”

And the most damning of all articles, Weiler points out that the CDC itself is behind the testing fiasco in the U.S. by insisting on having its own test so they could profit, create a vaccine, and own more patents at the expense of public health: